FTA Vantage Point: Interest Rates  

Did the Bank of England raise rates too soon?

  • Explain the calculations behind interest rate movements
  • Describe why UK monetary policy may differ from the rest of the world
  • Explain how longer-term economic trends may impact the inflation rate
CPD
Approx.30min

But Bitel is not so sure this will be the case. She feels the decade after 2010 was an outlier, and not the start of a new normal. 

She says it was the policy of “austerity” pursued by many governments around the world at that time which led to those economic conditions. She feels the political mood has changed and governments will now prioritise economic growth, and that will mean slightly higher inflation in future years.

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Bitel says Eurozone governments have committed to increased spending in the years to come, though Ben Lord, bond fund manager at M&G, notes the UK government’s present economic policy focus is on reining in public spending.

Dall’Angelo says that in the US, despite there being no event such as Brexit, labour shortages are also very evident in a way that was not the case pre-pandemic, and this could lead to inflation becoming more ingrained, leading to higher rates in future than was the case in the years immediately pre-pandemic. 

David Thorpe is special projects editor at FTAdviser

CPD
Approx.30min

Please answer the six multiple choice questions below in order to bank your CPD. Multiple attempts are available until all questions are correctly answered.

  1. How is r* better known?

  2. When did the FOMC think rates would need to rise after their meeting in June 2021?

  3. What is the trend rate of growth?

  4. At what level is full employment defined the BoE?

  5. What does Robertson say is of particular concern to the BoE right now?

  6. Why might the lack of a switch to services consumption be contributing to higher inflation?

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  • Explain the calculations behind interest rate movements
  • Describe why UK monetary policy may differ from the rest of the world
  • Explain how longer-term economic trends may impact the inflation rate

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