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The real reason stocks fell so dramatically

  • Describe some of the challenges over valuations of stocks
  • Explain the impact of valuations on stocks following the outbreak of Covid-19
  • Identify the importance of valuations on long-term performance
CPD
Approx.30min

Letting valuation drive asset allocation forces you to study fundamentals.

And understanding that underpriced assets outperform in the long term empowers you to act like a long-term investor.

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Market declines are no longer marked with short-term fear, but long-term opportunity.

This is a key change in mindset, as the perhaps most dangerous parts of downturns are psychological.

Fear of further losses can cause an investor to sell out, thereby locking in losses as it is unlikely they will get back into the market in time to catch the rebound.

We have begun to take on not less risk but more as prices have fallen and the risk/reward picture improves.

We still view UK equities as being attractively priced, and US stocks are much more attractive, too.

We like European financials and global energy, as these companies have been hit particularly hard in the sell-off.

Again, we like these assets because we believe their prices will come back, and they have further to come back than assets like technology and health care companies in the US, which have held up much better in this down market.

Being a valuation-driven investor makes you a bit of a contrarian.

We try to be, as business magnate Warren Buffett once aptly put it, greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy.

After a long period of being fearful, a silver lining of this crisis is that we can now eagerly look to markets for bargains.

Dan Kemp is chief investment officer, EMEA, Morningstar Investment Management Europe

CPD
Approx.30min

Please answer the six multiple choice questions below in order to bank your CPD. Multiple attempts are available until all questions are correctly answered.

  1. What is the implication of negative or near-zero interest rates?

  2. Equities fell so dramatically following the Covid-19 outbreak, purely due to the virus, according to the author, true or false?

  3. What is the impact of exaggerated valuations on stocks, when there is a shock such as Covid-19?

  4. What happens to underpriced assets when there are near zero-rate interest rates?

  5. In the author's opinion, which market had the most overpriced stocks?

  6. According to the author, under-priced stocks outperform over-priced stocks in the long-term, true or false?

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  • Describe some of the challenges over valuations of stocks
  • Explain the impact of valuations on stocks following the outbreak of Covid-19
  • Identify the importance of valuations on long-term performance

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